Where will Apple shares be in 1 year?

But he has illuminated something how the tariffs the company will be dust in the current quarter: they will add 900 million US dollars to the costs of Apple. And that is probably just the beginning.

Cook said that investors do not take away the estimate of 900 million US dollars from the current quarter and use them to make forecasts for future quarters “as there are certain unique factors that benefit in the June quarter”.

To make things worse, the tariffs are likely to change. The wide tariff of 10% on imported goods from almost all countries remains, while higher mutual tariffs are tackled. In the meantime, China looks at 145% tariffs for most exports to the USA, but the government says that it is talking to China to reduce the temperature in the trade war. It is even more confusing that President Trump has declined some tariffs for certain industries and sectors.

All of this adds up to a situation in which companies like Apple try to navigate in a complicated regulatory environment in which the rules are less than clear.

Another indicator that the next year could be less than outstanding for Apple is the fact that the company has reduced its share buyback authorization by 10 billion US dollars for the year, which is a total amount of $ 100 billion. Companies sometimes reduce their buyback programs if they are not sure about the future.

The volatile nature of the trade policy of this administration means that many companies are almost impossible for many companies to medium -term prospects. The tariffs could finally force Apple to increase the prices for its products or to absorb some of the costs and weigh their profits. To what extent this happens is still unknown, but Apple should prepare for difficult times when the US trade negotiations fall apart.

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Chris Neiger has positions in Apple. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Where will Apple shares be in 1 year? was originally published by Motley Fool