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The 10 best long-haul routes in the USA that are not served

In the year ending July 2024, there were an estimated 113 million in the United States Long distance passengers, which equates to almost 155,000 passengers daily each way. This determination is based on examination of booking data available through the OAG Traffic Analyzer. The US-UK was the largest market, followed by Italy, Japan, India and Germany.




Regardless of where they were flying, six out of 10 people had to change flights en route. Of the top 50 country markets in the US, all were linked to Thailand, Hungary, Indonesia and Pakistan. These had 500,000 to 1.1 million passengers. Of course, size alone doesn’t mean they’re suitable for nonstop flights.

Approximately 80% or more of passengers traveling to/from nine nations transited en route: Czech Republic, India, Kenya, Nigeria, Norway, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Sweden and Vietnam.

Not only were there more than six million passengers traveling to/from India, but despite a significant increase in flights, a whopping 86% had to fly indirectly. This is a huge and rapidly growing market
completely underserved.

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The 10 largest unserviced long-haul routes

The following table summarizes them. Several routes have already been served and others have been announced, although nothing has been confirmed yet, which is a recurring problem.


Just ask Air India about Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles and Seattle, which have been rumored for some time. While only one made the list, the others weren’t far off.

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Compared to before the pandemic, two airlines have been added to the list.

Some large markets such as Dallas/Fort Worth-Hyderabad (92,400), New York JFK-Hyderabad (85,300) and Dallas/Fort Worth-Delhi (68,100) did not make the cut.

Return passengers (passengers daily each way)*

Airport couple

Comments

254,500 (349)

Los Angeles-Ho Chi Minh City

Had United via Hong Kong, Continental via Tokyo and Delta via Tokyo. Vietnam Airlines is now flying San Francisco-Ho Chi Minh City; perhaps Los Angeles will become a reality in the future

187,200 (256)

Los Angeles-Bangkok

Had non-stop and one-stop flights with Thai Airways as well as United and Delta via Tokyo. Thai Airways has stated many times that it wants to return to the United States. If so, Los Angeles is the obvious choice

164,600 (225)

New York JFK-Dhaka

Served with Biman Bangladesh for years and may return at some point if Bangladesh’s security status moves to Category 1. In 2023, the airline applied to resume JFK flights

134,500 (184)

Los Angeles-Yerevan

No airline will operate this route

129,200 (177)

Seattle-Delhi

Air India has announced that it will start this route

115,300 (158)

Houston Intercontinental-Ho Chi Minh City

Would be only slightly shorter than the world’s longest nonstop flight, Singapore-New York JFK. It won’t happen

112,800 (155)

San Francisco-Bangkok

United is reportedly considering Bangkok or Ho Chi Minh City

107,500 (147)

New York JFK-Bangkok

Had flights with Thai Airways. Adding Newark to the JFK numbers, there were 123,300 passengers in Bangkok (169 passengers per day each way).

102,800 (141)

New York JFK-Tirana

No airline will operate this route

99,800 (137)

Miami-Milan Malpensa

Last served by American and Air Italy in 2020. American flew it for eight years. It was previously in the hands of the now-defunct Alitalia for decades until 2013


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They have a lot in common

On a great circle basis, the average length of the 10 airport pairs is 6,432 nautical miles (11,895 km). Lots of them They cover a considerable distance, sometimes even in the ultra-long distance range.

They all have good point-to-point passenger numbers, but as usual there are plenty of one-stop options via any number of turnstiles. Despite the traffic, if any of these services were started (or restarted), the traffic from uninterrupted service would increase.

Two Vietnam Airlines Airbus A350-900 Shutterstock_1261801237

Photo: Minh K Tran | Shutterstock

A recurring problem with such routes is the relative lack of premium traffic. In fact, they typically revolve around demand from vacationers and visiting friends and family.

This almost always means that average fares are relatively low, although an airline might charge a small premium for the convenience of nonstop service. Combined with the distance, this means quite low yields, which is exactly what is not necessary for such operations.


What about Miami?

The average base fare from Miami to Milan is $567 one-way (all passengers in all cabins, excluding everything else), 14% less than the $662 Boston-Milan fare, which begins next summer after April 17 -year absence is reintroduced.

Despite Boston’s higher average, 23% fewer routes are traveled, significantly reducing costs. Yet Miami has twice as many passengers, plus all potential passengers traveling to/from South America and beyond.

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