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Sell ​​SMCI shares after the winning closure?

The Super Micro Computer Stock (NASDAQ: SMCI) declined by around 11% on Tuesday after the company published preliminary results for the March quarter, which remained only slightly due to the expectations. The server manufacturer now expects a turnover between 4.5 and 4.6 billion US dollars, which goes back to a severe decline compared to its previous instructions from $ 5 billion to $ 6 billion. The result per share is also expected to be well below estimates of only $ 0.29 to $ 0.31 per share. Super Micro has attributed the failure to “delayed customer canopies”, which have promoted some orders in the next quarter. However, the extent of the shortfall raises concerns about the broader demand trends or could also indicate a possible loss of the market share for super microcomputers to competitors such as dell technologies.

Outlook could become tougher

The US economy committed itself in the first quarter of this year, and the prospects seem to be more and more difficult. President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs come into force, and this increases the risk of reviving inflation. The AI ​​sector could be more susceptible to cost reductions during a downturn, since the AI ​​investments are still unprofitable for the majority of companies. Export restrictions can also put pressure on the US server manufacturers such as Super Micro. There is also the possibility that after years of strong expenses for the AI ​​infrastructure, the efficiency of their code could prioritize the efficiency of the Brute -Force expansion of computing power. (Relationships: Should Deepseek R2 Nvidia investors get worried?) In February, Super Micro’s turnover in Fiscal 2026 could reach 40 billion US dollars in February and mark an increase of 70% compared to the financial year25. However, these forecasts can prove to be difficult if you consider the macroeconomic headwind and the recent profit recovery of the company.

The assessment is cheap

Now there are also some positive for Super Micro shares. The Super Micro server products are closely linked to the Nvidia GPU ecosystem. With NVIDIA, which increase the production of its new Blackwell chips, SMCI’s server platforms can see the demand pickup. The company has also expanded to the DLC server market (Direct-Liquid-Cooled), which is viewed as a key technology for the treatment of arithmetic-intensive AI workloads. The company’s assessment also remains. SMCI is dealing with almost 13x estimate of 2025, far below the forward game in S&P 500 of over 20x. This seems to be even more sensible if we consider the fact that sales have been increased in the past three years with an annual price of 74.5%.

Caution proceed

Nevertheless, investors should be careful. Super Micro suspended considerable controversy last year, including allegations of disagreement, delays in SEC registrations and the examination of short strokes. In the past few months, some of these topics have facilitated the company after the recent submission of his annual financial statements. However, the latest earnings, which is summarized with a stained success record of the corporate governance, indicates that investors may have to be careful with SMCI shares.

The investment in a single share such as SMCI can be risky. On the other hand, the Treffis High Quality (HQ) portfolio with a collection of 30 shares has a success story of The S&P 500 exceed comfortably in the last 4-year period. Why is that? As a group, HQ portfolio shares delivered better returns with less risk compared to the benchmark index, less than a scooter coaster ride, as can be seen in the metrics of the HQ portfolio performance metrics.

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The views and opinions expressed here are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect Nasdaq, Inc..

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