5 Best MLB bets, player props and Homerun picks for Sunday, 18.05.25

In a certain MLB slate you have to search a lot of markets, from total sums to home runs and strikeout frequisites.

Which bets stand out for today’s games?

In the following I will go through my favorite bets in the MLB bets from Fanduel Sportsbook. You can receive additional findings from our daily MLB Player forecasts.

Note: The lines change during the day after the publication of this article. All statistics come from fangraphs and baseball Savant, unless otherwise stated.

The best MLB bets, player props and Homerun picks from today

Tampa Bay Rays in Miami Marlins

Over 8.5 runs (-118)

Both starters of the team in South Beach are vulnerable – told the least. The over seems to be the best bet.

This is no surprise on the Miami Marlins side when they equip Cal Quantrill again. Quantrills 5.02-skill-interview era (Siera) associated with high rates of stubborn (43.8%) and cheap (11.6%) baseballs. It allowed 1.50 HR/9. Remember, Miamis Bullpen also has the worst Siera in MLB (4.28) itself.

However, I think it is oversold how much Shane Baz can control it from the perspective of the Tampa Bay Rays. The 3.73 Siera from BAZ comes from a strong strike rate (25.8%), but it is exaggerated in this category if it generates a hint of only 9.9% of its parking spaces. Flyballs (41.9%), barrels (11.1%) and Homer (1.47 HR/9) are also a seismic problem here.

Both teams also rose from MLBs under 10 in terms of team ops against right -hand skin. We were able to see some criminal offense after yesterday’s four-run result.

Brandon Lowe to record 2+ total bases (+125)

Brandon Lowe didn’t get what he deserves to start in 2025.

The left -handed train specialist is Despite it Despite an operation of 0.706, which usually seems closer. He actually leads the rays in the hard contact rate against Righties (44.6%) among players with at least 100 record appearances (PAS).

For a bases, however, that Lowes holds 7.6 BB% back in the split. Free passes don’t do anything for me.

Lowe is forecast in second place, and four – and possibly five cracks in Quantrill and the Reeling Marlins Bullpen will have. I will take his bases with higher chances than most of his teammates who tend to run more.

St. Louis Cardinals in Kansas City Royals

Cardinals Moneyline in the first 5 Innerings (-114)

The terrible crime of Kansas City Royals could stumble again on Sunday morning.

Kansas City has only gathered a 67 WRC+ (26th in MLB) against left -handed people to start the season. They do not beat much (22.0%), but that puts them in danger against a south paw that does not constitute a weak contact. The former top prospective Matthew Liberatore 3.39 Siera and 22.8% strike rate are also up and down as career height.

On the other hand, Michael Wacha is located on the other side of this pitching matchup. WACHA is no stranger to surpass his peripheral devices, but the gap in the ERA (2.96) and Siera (4.51) is quite pronounced against an offensive of St. Louis Cardinals, which is four of the baseball (.760).

To be honest, the moneyline is somewhat sketchy in the face of these pronounced advantages in full games, but the cards are the significant Better page on both sides of the diamond. I will avoid what Bullpen -Mätzchen could be and Liberatore, who is -120 to go six full innings, lead St. Louis to an early lead.

Los Angeles Angels in Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers -1.5 (-118)

The 19-25 Los Angeles Angels are only +100 to cover a run against the 29-17 Los Angeles Dodgers? What a rip -off.

This could have to do with the surprise victory of the Halos last night, which brought a Bullpen game behind a limited Clayton Kershaw. Today the offensive of the Angels has to navigate in Tony Gonsolin, which could see an all-star campaign if its 2.71 Siera and 33.3% K rate continue to keep the beginning of summer.

I am not optimistic when the team of visitors against Righties (.694) in the baseball is the ninth closing word.

In the meantime, the Dodgers, occupied with stars, get a blast at Yusei Kikuchi, who blew into the air under softer conditions. The 4.53 Siera des Lefty has worrying contact gaps, which we will examine at a moment.

Despite yesterday’s blowout, the angels (3.75 Siera) could also lose to the ground against the Dodgers (3.10). I think La – the blue side – comes back on the right path on Sunday.

Will Smith to meet a Homerun (+450)

One of the possibilities that could be followed by a party that he had excluded during the 20-run bonanza from last night.

Smith made no surprise when you consider that only three bombs in the season. At the moment it only mixes southern paws if the home runs – many of them – will have this kind of knowledge. The catcher has an OPS of 1.291, 0.357 ISO, 60.0% (!) Flyball rate and 40.0% hard hit rate over 37 PAS against left-handers. The loft is particularly puzzling to reconcile with a lack of things.

Kikuchi can help in the second best park of MLB for Homeruns. It has increased flyball (39.6%) and barrel (10.3%) allocations and wraps themselves in 1.66 hours/9 this year. Kikuchi did not give up a left left over a Homerun all season, so Shoei ohtani may not be the best option today.

La’s Catcher will make more jogging for the base paths if he meanders balls as now. This is a large number to buy a potential regression on Sunday – especially if 21.3 BB% in the split makes a basic props difficult to justify.

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The author mentioned above is a Fanduel employee and is not entitled to take part in public daily fantasy competitions or to place sports betting on Fanduel. The advice given by the author does not necessarily represent the views of Fanduel. Advising the author does not guarantee a successful result. You should use your own judgment in participating in daily fantasy competitions or in placement of sports betting.